The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future

Phillip Frank Gower Banfill; David P. Jenkins; Sandhya Patidar; Mehreen Gul; Gillian Frances Menzies; Gavin Jarvis Gibson

The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future

Phillip Frank Gower Banfill, David P. Jenkins, Sandhya Patidar, Mehreen Gul, Gillian Frances Menzies, Gavin Jarvis Gibson

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

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Abstract

An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09 projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations
Publisher	Energy Systems Laboratory
Publication status	Published - 2012
Event	12th International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations 2012 - Manchester, United Kingdom Duration: 23 Oct 2012 → 26 Oct 2012

Conference

Conference	12th International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations 2012
Abbreviated title	ICEBO 2012
Country/Territory	United Kingdom
City	Manchester
Period	23/10/12 → 26/10/12

Keywords

Buildings
Climate change
Overheating
Thermal comfort

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

https://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148945

Cite this

@inproceedings{aeefb7c8633449adb75c86a77d88c6c6,

title = "The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future",

abstract = "An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09 projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns.",

keywords = "Buildings, Climate change, Overheating, Thermal comfort",

author = "Banfill, {Phillip Frank Gower} and Jenkins, {David P.} and Sandhya Patidar and Mehreen Gul and Menzies, {Gillian Frances} and Gibson, {Gavin Jarvis}",

year = "2012",

language = "English",

booktitle = "Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations",

publisher = "Energy Systems Laboratory",

note = "12th International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations 2012, ICEBO 2012 ; Conference date: 23-10-2012 Through 26-10-2012",

}

Banfill, PFG, Jenkins, DP , Patidar, S , Gul, M, Menzies, GF & Gibson, GJ 2012, The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future. in Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations., ESL-IC-12-10-50, Energy Systems Laboratory, 12th International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations 2012, Manchester, United Kingdom, 23/10/12. <https://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148945>

The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future. / Banfill, Phillip Frank Gower; Jenkins, David P.; Patidar, Sandhya et al.
Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations. Energy Systems Laboratory, 2012. ESL-IC-12-10-50.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

TY - GEN

T1 - The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future

AU - Banfill, Phillip Frank Gower

AU - Jenkins, David P.

AU - Patidar, Sandhya

AU - Gul, Mehreen

AU - Menzies, Gillian Frances

AU - Gibson, Gavin Jarvis

PY - 2012

Y1 - 2012

N2 - An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09 projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns.

AB - An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09 projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns.

KW - Buildings

KW - Climate change

KW - Overheating

KW - Thermal comfort

M3 - Conference contribution

BT - Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations

PB - Energy Systems Laboratory

T2 - 12th International Conference for Enhanced Building Operations 2012

Y2 - 23 October 2012 through 26 October 2012

ER -

The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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Cite this