TY - JOUR
T1 - Some recent developments in Markov Chain Monte Carlo for cointegrated time series
AU - Marowka, Maciej
AU - Peters, Gareth W.
AU - Kantas, Nikolas
AU - Bagnarosa, Guillaume
PY - 2017/11/8
Y1 - 2017/11/8
N2 - We consider multivariate time series that exhibit reduced rank cointegration, which means a lower dimensional linear projection of the process becomes stationary. We will review recent suitable Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches for Bayesian inference such as the Gibbs sampler of [41] and the Geodesic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method of [3]. Then we will propose extensions that can allow the ideas in both methods to be applied for cointegrated time series with non-Gaussian noise. We illustrate the efficiency and accuracy of these extensions using appropriate numerical experiments.
AB - We consider multivariate time series that exhibit reduced rank cointegration, which means a lower dimensional linear projection of the process becomes stationary. We will review recent suitable Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches for Bayesian inference such as the Gibbs sampler of [41] and the Geodesic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method of [3]. Then we will propose extensions that can allow the ideas in both methods to be applied for cointegrated time series with non-Gaussian noise. We illustrate the efficiency and accuracy of these extensions using appropriate numerical experiments.
U2 - 10.1051/proc/201759076
DO - 10.1051/proc/201759076
M3 - Article
SN - 2267-3059
VL - 59
SP - 76
EP - 103
JO - ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys
JF - ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys
ER -