Abstract
Chen et al. (2014), studied a discrete semi-Markov risk model that covers existing risk models such as the compound binomial model and the compound Markov binomial model. We consider their model and build numerical algorithms that provide approximations to the probability of ultimate ruin and the probability and severity of ruin in a continuous time two-state Markov-modulated risk model. We then study the finite time ruin probability for a discrete m-state model and show how we can approximate the density of the time of ruin in a continuous time Markov-modulated model with more than two states.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 23-48 |
Number of pages | 26 |
Journal | Annals of Actuarial Science |
Volume | 12 |
Issue number | 1 |
Early online date | 30 May 2017 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Mar 2018 |
Keywords
- Discrete time model
- Finite time ruin probability
- Markov-modulated model
- Severity of ruin
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Economics and Econometrics
- Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty