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Reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science research

  • Abel Brodeur
  • , Derek Mikola
  • , Nikolai Cook
  • , Lenka Fiala
  • , Thomas Brailey
  • , Ryan Briggs
  • , Alexandra de Gendre
  • , Yannick Dupraz
  • , Jacopo Gabani
  • , Romain Gauriot
  • , Joanne Haddad
  • , Goncalo Lima
  • , Jorg Ankel-Peters
  • , Anna Dreber
  • , Douglas Campbell
  • , Lamis Kattan
  • , Diego Marino Fages
  • , Fabian Mierisch
  • , Pu Sun
  • , Taylor Wright
  • Marie Connolly, Fernando Hoces de la Guardia, Magnus Johannesson, Edward Miguel, Lars Vilhuber, Alejandro Abarca, Mahesh Acharya, Sossou Simplice Adjisse, Ahwaz Akhtar, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez Lizardi, Sabina Albrecht, Synøve Nygaard Andersen, Zubaria Andlib, Falak Arrora, Thomas Ash, Etienne Bacher, Sebastian Bachler, Felix Bacon, Manuel Bagues, Timea Balogh, Alisher Batmanov, Mara Barschkett, B. Kaan Basdil, Jaromir Baxa, Sascha O. Becker, Monica Beeder, Louis-Philippe Beland, Abdel-Hamid Bello, Daniel Benenson Markovits, Rachel Forshaw

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Science aspires to be cumulative. Reproducibility efforts strengthen science by testing the reliability of published findings, promoting self-correction, and informing policy-making. Computational reproductions, whereby independent researchers reproduce the results of published studies, are an essential diagnostic tool. Such efforts should have greater visibility. However, little social science reproduction and robustness has been conducted at scale. Here we reproduced original analyses and conducted robustness checks of 110 articles that were published in leading economics and political science journals with mandatory data and code sharing policies. We found that more than 85% of published claims were computationally reproducible. In robustness checks, our reanalyses showed that 72% of statistically significant estimates remain significant and in the same direction, and the median reproduced effect size is nearly the same as the originally published effect size (that is, 99% of the published effect size). Additionally, 6 independent research teams examined 12 pre-specified hypotheses about determinants of robustness. Research teams with more experience found lower levels of robustness, and robustness did not correlate with author characteristics or data availability.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)151-156
Number of pages6
JournalNature
Volume652
Issue number8108
Early online date1 Apr 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Apr 2026

Keywords

  • Economics
  • Politics
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Research - standards
  • Research Personnel
  • Social Sciences - standards

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

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