New trends on the systems approach to modeling SARS-CoV-2 pandemics in a globally connected planet

Giulia Bertaglia, Andrea Bondesan, Diletta Burini, Raluca Eftimie, Lorenzo Pareschi, Giuseppe Toscani

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)
4 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

This paper presents a critical analysis of the literature and perspective research ideas for modeling the epidemics caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It goes beyond deterministic population dynamics to consider several key complexity features of the system under consideration. In particular, the multiscale features of the dynamics from contagion to the subsequent dynamics of competition between the immune system and the proliferating virus. Other topics addressed in this work include the propagation of epidemics in a territory, taking into account local transportation networks, the heterogeneity of the population and the study of social and economic problems in populations involved in the spread of epidemics. The overall content aims to show how new mathematical tools can be developed to address the above topics and how mathematical models and simulations can contribute to the decision making of crisis managers.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1995-2054
Number of pages60
JournalMathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences
Volume34
Issue number11
Early online date13 Sept 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2024

Keywords

  • Complexity
  • active particles
  • multiscale vision
  • mutations
  • virus contagion

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Applied Mathematics
  • Modelling and Simulation

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