Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning

Achim Ahrens*, Christian B. Hansen, Mark Edwin Schaffer, Thomas Wiemann

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

This paper discusses pairing double/debiased machine learning (DDML) with stacking, a model averaging method for combining multiple candidate learners, to estimate structural parameters. In addition to conventional stacking, we consider two stacking variants available for DDML: Short-stacking exploits the cross-fitting step of DDML to substantially reduce the computational burden, and pooled stacking enforces common stacking weights over cross-fitting folds. Using calibrated simulation studies and two applications estimating gender gaps in citations and wages, we show that DDML with stacking is more robust to partially unknown functional forms than common alternative approaches based on single pre-selected learners. We provide Stata and R software implementing our proposals.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)249-269
Number of pages21
JournalJournal of Applied Econometrics
Volume40
Issue number3
Early online date19 Jan 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2025

Keywords

  • causal inference
  • partially linear model
  • high-dimensional models
  • super learners
  • nonparametric estimation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)

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