Abstract
We investigate whether liquidity introduces or helps resolve uncertainty in Phase I and the first year of Phase II of the European carbon futures market. We propose a distinction between ‘absolute’ or overall liquidity and that which is ‘relative’ to a benchmark. For this purpose, we suggest volume-weighted duration as a natural measure of trading intensity as a proxy for liquidity, and we model it as a rescaled temporal point process. The new model is called Autoregressive Conditional Weighted Duration (ACWD) and is shown to outperform its discrete modelling counterparts. Liquidity is found to play a dual role, with higher relative liquidity introducing uncertainty and higher absolute liquidity accelerating uncertainty resolution, thus, enhancing market efficiency
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 89-102 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | International Review of Financial Analysis |
Volume | 37 |
Issue number | 1 |
Early online date | 6 Nov 2014 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jan 2015 |
Keywords
- instantaneous liquidity;
- Marked duration
- Temporal marked point process
- Carbon market
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
- General Energy
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Boulis Maher Ibrahim
- School of Social Sciences, Edinburgh Business School - Associate Professor
- School of Social Sciences - Associate Professor
Person: Academic (Research & Teaching)