Kinetic Modelling of Epidemic Dynamics: Social Contacts, Control with Uncertain Data, and Multiscale Spatial Dynamics

Giacomo Albi, Giulia Bertaglia, Walter Boscheri, Giacomo Dimarco, Lorenzo Pareschi*, Giuseppe Toscani, Mattia Zanella

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

21 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modelling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role in the spread of an epidemic, such as the age of individuals, the number of social contacts, and their economic wealth. Subsequently, for such models, we discuss the possibility of containing the epidemic through an appropriate optimal control formulation based on the policy maker’s perception of the progress of the epidemic. The role of uncertainty in the data is also discussed and addressed. Finally, the kinetic modelling is extended to spatially dependent settings using multiscale transport models that can characterize the impact of movement dynamics on epidemic advancement on both one-dimensional networks and realistic two-dimensional geographic settings.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPredicting Pandemics in a Globally Connected World, Volume 1
PublisherBirkhäuser
Pages43-108
Number of pages66
ISBN (Electronic)9783030965624
ISBN (Print)9783030965617
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 18 Feb 2022

Publication series

NameModeling and Simulation in Science, Engineering and Technology
ISSN (Print)2164-3679
ISSN (Electronic)2164-3725

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • General Engineering
  • Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes
  • Computational Mathematics

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