Inflation Volatility Effects on the Allocation of Bank Loans

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This paper examines the distortionary effects of inflation volatility on the allocation of bank loans. We argue that inflation volatility would render bank managers to behave more conservatively in issuing new loans. In contrast, when inflation volatility is low, bank managers would have the latitude to lend more idiosyncratically. Using a large panel of commercial bank data gathered from 15 countries, we provide support for our hypothesis by demonstrating a strong negative relation between inflation volatility and the dispersion of loans-to-assets ratio. Similar results are obtained when we split the sample between EU and non-EU country groups. The robustness of our findings is confirmed by a battery of sensitivity checks.
LanguageEnglish
Pages27-39
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Financial Stability
Volume24
Early online date28 Apr 2016
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2016

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inflation
Inflation
Volatility
loan
bank
allocation
manager
measurement method
data bank
latitude
Battery
assets
EU
panel
effect
Robustness
hypothesis
sample

Keywords

  • Bank loans
  • inflation volatility
  • cross-sectional dispersion
  • international panel data

Cite this

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title = "Inflation Volatility Effects on the Allocation of Bank Loans",
abstract = "This paper examines the distortionary effects of inflation volatility on the allocation of bank loans. We argue that inflation volatility would render bank managers to behave more conservatively in issuing new loans. In contrast, when inflation volatility is low, bank managers would have the latitude to lend more idiosyncratically. Using a large panel of commercial bank data gathered from 15 countries, we provide support for our hypothesis by demonstrating a strong negative relation between inflation volatility and the dispersion of loans-to-assets ratio. Similar results are obtained when we split the sample between EU and non-EU country groups. The robustness of our findings is confirmed by a battery of sensitivity checks.",
keywords = "Bank loans, inflation volatility, cross-sectional dispersion, international panel data",
author = "Mustafa Caglayan and Bing Xu",
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language = "English",
volume = "24",
pages = "27--39",
journal = "Journal of Financial Stability",
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Inflation Volatility Effects on the Allocation of Bank Loans. / Caglayan, Mustafa; Xu, Bing.

In: Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 24, 06.2016, p. 27-39.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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