TY - JOUR
T1 - First quarter chronicle of covid-19
T2 - An attempt to measure governments’ responses
AU - Şahin, Şule
AU - Boado-Penas, María Del Carmen
AU - Constantinescu, Corina
AU - Eisenberg, Julia
AU - Henshaw, Kira
AU - Hu, Maoqi
AU - Wang, Jing
AU - Zhu, Wei
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
PY - 2020/12
Y1 - 2020/12
N2 - The crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness for handling the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a first quarter chronicle of COVID-19 in Hubei China, Italy and Spain, particularly focusing on infection speed, death and fatality rates. By analysing the parameters of the best fitting distributions of the available data for the three rates in each of the three regions, we illustrate the pandemic’s evolution in relation to government measures. We compared the effectiveness of lockdown measures by observing the true situation in each dataset, without proposing a mathematical model. The feasibility of obtaining a firm conclusion in regard to the best solution for containing COVID-19 is limited, with a universal solution failing to exist due to globally varying culture, mentality and behaviours. Our method provides valid insights into the individual and national actions implemented and adhered to in order to slow the effect of the pandemic during the first-wave of COVID-19.
AB - The crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness for handling the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a first quarter chronicle of COVID-19 in Hubei China, Italy and Spain, particularly focusing on infection speed, death and fatality rates. By analysing the parameters of the best fitting distributions of the available data for the three rates in each of the three regions, we illustrate the pandemic’s evolution in relation to government measures. We compared the effectiveness of lockdown measures by observing the true situation in each dataset, without proposing a mathematical model. The feasibility of obtaining a firm conclusion in regard to the best solution for containing COVID-19 is limited, with a universal solution failing to exist due to globally varying culture, mentality and behaviours. Our method provides valid insights into the individual and national actions implemented and adhered to in order to slow the effect of the pandemic during the first-wave of COVID-19.
KW - Distribution fitting
KW - Epidemic
KW - Risk
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85097552527&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3390/risks8040115
DO - 10.3390/risks8040115
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85097552527
SN - 2227-9091
VL - 8
JO - Risks
JF - Risks
IS - 4
M1 - 115
ER -