Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures

Dimitry V Val; Mark G Stewart

Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Abstract

In order to make a rational decision about a cost-effective solution the life-cycle cost of a structure including cost of structural failure needs to be considered. Due to uncertainties associated with structural properties, loads and environmental conditions the cost of structural failure is a random variable. The paper derives probability distributions of the cost of failure of a single structure and a group of identical structures when single or multiple failures are possible during the service life of a structure. The probability distributions are based on cumulative probabilities of failure of a single structure over its service life. The probability distributions can be employed to evaluate the expected utility, which is then used in decision making. An example, which considers the selection of durability specifications for a reinforced concrete structure built in marine environments, illustrates the use of the derived probability distributions.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structures
Subtitle of host publication	Assessment, Design and Management
Editors	Dan M Frangopol, Eugen Bruhwiler, Michael H Faber, Bryan Adey
Publisher	American Society of Civil Engineers
Pages	413-423
Number of pages	11
ISBN (Print)	9780784407073, 0-7844-0707-X
Publication status	Published - 2004
Event	Third IABMAS (International Association for Bridge Maintenance and Safety) Workshop on Life-Cycle Cost Analysis and Design of Civil Infrastructure Systems and the JCSS (Joint Committee on Structural Safety) Workshop on Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration Processes in Concrete Structures - Lausanne, Switzerland Duration: 24 Mar 2003 → 26 Mar 2003

Conference

Conference	Third IABMAS (International Association for Bridge Maintenance and Safety) Workshop on Life-Cycle Cost Analysis and Design of Civil Infrastructure Systems and the JCSS (Joint Committee on Structural Safety) Workshop on Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration Processes in Concrete Structures
Country/Territory	Switzerland
City	Lausanne
Period	24/03/03 → 26/03/03

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Cite this

@inproceedings{665001456599458a9af0bd744d4d3850,

title = "Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures",

abstract = "In order to make a rational decision about a cost-effective solution the life-cycle cost of a structure including cost of structural failure needs to be considered. Due to uncertainties associated with structural properties, loads and environmental conditions the cost of structural failure is a random variable. The paper derives probability distributions of the cost of failure of a single structure and a group of identical structures when single or multiple failures are possible during the service life of a structure. The probability distributions are based on cumulative probabilities of failure of a single structure over its service life. The probability distributions can be employed to evaluate the expected utility, which is then used in decision making. An example, which considers the selection of durability specifications for a reinforced concrete structure built in marine environments, illustrates the use of the derived probability distributions.",

author = "Val, {Dimitry V} and Stewart, {Mark G}",

year = "2004",

language = "English",

isbn = "9780784407073",

pages = "413--423",

editor = "Frangopol, {Dan M} and Eugen Bruhwiler and Faber, {Michael H} and Bryan Adey",

booktitle = "Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structures",

publisher = "American Society of Civil Engineers",

address = "United States",

note = "Third IABMAS (International Association for Bridge Maintenance and Safety) Workshop on Life-Cycle Cost Analysis and Design of Civil Infrastructure Systems and the JCSS (Joint Committee on Structural Safety) Workshop on Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration Processes in Concrete Structures ; Conference date: 24-03-2003 Through 26-03-2003",

}

Val, DV & Stewart, MG 2004, Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures. in DM Frangopol, E Bruhwiler, MH Faber & B Adey (eds), Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structures: Assessment, Design and Management. American Society of Civil Engineers, pp. 413-423, Third IABMAS (International Association for Bridge Maintenance and Safety) Workshop on Life-Cycle Cost Analysis and Design of Civil Infrastructure Systems and the JCSS (Joint Committee on Structural Safety) Workshop on Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration Processes in Concrete Structures, Lausanne, Switzerland, 24/03/03.

Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures. / Val, Dimitry V; Stewart, Mark G.
Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structures: Assessment, Design and Management. ed. / Dan M Frangopol; Eugen Bruhwiler; Michael H Faber; Bryan Adey. American Society of Civil Engineers, 2004. p. 413-423.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

TY - GEN

T1 - Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures

AU - Val, Dimitry V

AU - Stewart, Mark G

PY - 2004

Y1 - 2004

N2 - In order to make a rational decision about a cost-effective solution the life-cycle cost of a structure including cost of structural failure needs to be considered. Due to uncertainties associated with structural properties, loads and environmental conditions the cost of structural failure is a random variable. The paper derives probability distributions of the cost of failure of a single structure and a group of identical structures when single or multiple failures are possible during the service life of a structure. The probability distributions are based on cumulative probabilities of failure of a single structure over its service life. The probability distributions can be employed to evaluate the expected utility, which is then used in decision making. An example, which considers the selection of durability specifications for a reinforced concrete structure built in marine environments, illustrates the use of the derived probability distributions.

AB - In order to make a rational decision about a cost-effective solution the life-cycle cost of a structure including cost of structural failure needs to be considered. Due to uncertainties associated with structural properties, loads and environmental conditions the cost of structural failure is a random variable. The paper derives probability distributions of the cost of failure of a single structure and a group of identical structures when single or multiple failures are possible during the service life of a structure. The probability distributions are based on cumulative probabilities of failure of a single structure over its service life. The probability distributions can be employed to evaluate the expected utility, which is then used in decision making. An example, which considers the selection of durability specifications for a reinforced concrete structure built in marine environments, illustrates the use of the derived probability distributions.

M3 - Conference contribution

SN - 9780784407073

SN - 0-7844-0707-X

SP - 413

EP - 423

BT - Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structures

A2 - Frangopol, Dan M

A2 - Bruhwiler, Eugen

A2 - Faber, Michael H

A2 - Adey, Bryan

PB - American Society of Civil Engineers

T2 - Third IABMAS (International Association for Bridge Maintenance and Safety) Workshop on Life-Cycle Cost Analysis and Design of Civil Infrastructure Systems and the JCSS (Joint Committee on Structural Safety) Workshop on Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration Processes in Concrete Structures

Y2 - 24 March 2003 through 26 March 2003

ER -

Evaluation of expected utility for decision analysis of structures

Abstract

Conference

UN SDGs

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