Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women

Ayse Arik; Andrew John George Cairns; Erengul Dodd; Angus Smith Macdonald; George Streftaris

Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women

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Abstract

In this study we investigate the impact of diagnostic delays on breast cancer mortality, caused by public health measures introduced as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We establish a Markov model based on available data and medical literature for women aged 65–89 years. We quantify age-specific, short-term excess deaths, for a period up to 5 years, along with years of life expectancy lost and change in cancer mortality by cancer stage, based on an assumption relating to declines in breast cancer diagnosis amid the pandemic. Our analysis suggests a 5–8% increase in BC deaths of women, with no BC, across different ages.

Original language	English
Publication status	Published - 16 Feb 2023
Event	2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia - Hong Kong, Hong Kong Duration: 16 Feb 2023 → 16 Feb 2023

Conference

Conference	2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia
Country/Territory	Hong Kong
City	Hong Kong
Period	16/02/23 → 16/02/23

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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title = "Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women",

abstract = "In this study we investigate the impact of diagnostic delays on breast cancer mortality, caused by public health measures introduced as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We establish a Markov model based on available data and medical literature for women aged 65–89 years. We quantify age-specific, short-term excess deaths, for a period up to 5 years, along with years of life expectancy lost and change in cancer mortality by cancer stage, based on an assumption relating to declines in breast cancer diagnosis amid the pandemic. Our analysis suggests a 5–8\% increase in BC deaths of women, with no BC, across different ages.",

author = "Ayse Arik and Cairns, \{Andrew John George\} and Erengul Dodd and Macdonald, \{Angus Smith\} and George Streftaris",

year = "2023",

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language = "English",

note = "2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia ; Conference date: 16-02-2023 Through 16-02-2023",

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TY - CONF

T1 - Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women

AU - Arik, Ayse

AU - Cairns, Andrew John George

AU - Dodd, Erengul

AU - Macdonald, Angus Smith

AU - Streftaris, George

PY - 2023/2/16

Y1 - 2023/2/16

N2 - In this study we investigate the impact of diagnostic delays on breast cancer mortality, caused by public health measures introduced as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We establish a Markov model based on available data and medical literature for women aged 65–89 years. We quantify age-specific, short-term excess deaths, for a period up to 5 years, along with years of life expectancy lost and change in cancer mortality by cancer stage, based on an assumption relating to declines in breast cancer diagnosis amid the pandemic. Our analysis suggests a 5–8% increase in BC deaths of women, with no BC, across different ages.

AB - In this study we investigate the impact of diagnostic delays on breast cancer mortality, caused by public health measures introduced as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We establish a Markov model based on available data and medical literature for women aged 65–89 years. We quantify age-specific, short-term excess deaths, for a period up to 5 years, along with years of life expectancy lost and change in cancer mortality by cancer stage, based on an assumption relating to declines in breast cancer diagnosis amid the pandemic. Our analysis suggests a 5–8% increase in BC deaths of women, with no BC, across different ages.

M3 - Paper

T2 - 2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia

Y2 - 16 February 2023 through 16 February 2023

ER -

Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women

Abstract

Conference

UN SDGs

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