Estimating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer deaths among older women

Ayse Arik, Andrew John George Cairns, Erengul Dodd, Angus Smith Macdonald, George Streftaris

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Abstract

In this study we investigate the impact of diagnostic delays on breast cancer mortality, caused by public health measures introduced as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We establish a Markov model based on available data and medical literature for women aged 65–89 years. We quantify age-specific, short-term excess deaths, for a period up to 5 years, along with years of life expectancy lost and change in cancer mortality by cancer stage, based on an assumption relating to declines in breast cancer diagnosis amid the pandemic. Our analysis suggests a 5–8% increase in BC deaths of women, with no BC, across different ages.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 16 Feb 2023
Event2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia - Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Duration: 16 Feb 202316 Feb 2023

Conference

Conference2023 Living to 100 Research Symposium - Asia
Country/TerritoryHong Kong
CityHong Kong
Period16/02/2316/02/23

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