Abstract
The previous edition of the Homelessness Monitor Wales was published in 2021. It was accompanied by a full Technical Report on the Core Homeless Estimates and Projections for both Scotland and Wales (Bramley 2021). That reflected a comprehensive update and upgrade of both the base period estimates and the projections, and a very full account of both was provided in the Technical Report.
The Homelessness Monitor Wales published in 2025 was based on work done during 2024 using data compiled for periods up to 2023/4, but the main base period for the estimates of actual core homeless numbers as reported in Chapter 5 was up to 2022/23. The projections part of the analysis in that chapter ran forward to 2041, including projected numbers at 5 yearly intervals from 2026.
This Technical Note provides background information on the data sources, assumptions and judgements used to generate the base period estimated numbers. It goes on the review the models, methods and assumptions used to project these numbers forward, both in a neutral baseline scenario and for 11 variant contextual and/or policy scenarios, singly and in sequential combination.
Readers should be aware that, while we use whatever primary and secondary data are available in suitable form for Wales, nationally and down to local authority level, in order to fill some gaps and to strengthen the evidence base about trends and relationships, some analyses which cover Wales and Scotland together, and some that refer to Great Britain (GB) as a whole or (in one case) England are used to estimate certain key numbers and relationships.
The Homelessness Monitor Wales published in 2025 was based on work done during 2024 using data compiled for periods up to 2023/4, but the main base period for the estimates of actual core homeless numbers as reported in Chapter 5 was up to 2022/23. The projections part of the analysis in that chapter ran forward to 2041, including projected numbers at 5 yearly intervals from 2026.
This Technical Note provides background information on the data sources, assumptions and judgements used to generate the base period estimated numbers. It goes on the review the models, methods and assumptions used to project these numbers forward, both in a neutral baseline scenario and for 11 variant contextual and/or policy scenarios, singly and in sequential combination.
Readers should be aware that, while we use whatever primary and secondary data are available in suitable form for Wales, nationally and down to local authority level, in order to fill some gaps and to strengthen the evidence base about trends and relationships, some analyses which cover Wales and Scotland together, and some that refer to Great Britain (GB) as a whole or (in one case) England are used to estimate certain key numbers and relationships.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Publisher | Heriot-Watt University |
| Number of pages | 17 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Apr 2025 |