Carry trades and commodity risk factors

Joseph P. Byrne, Boulis Maher Ibrahim, Ryuta Sakemoto

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Citations (Scopus)
40 Downloads (Pure)


This paper investigates the importance of commodity prices for the returns of currency carry trade portfolios. We adopt a recently developed empirical factor model to capture commodity commonalities and heterogeneity. Agricultural material and metal price risk factors are found to have explanatory power on the cross-section of currency returns, while commodity common and oil factors do not. Although stock market risk is strongly linked to currencies in developed countries, the agricultural material factor is more important for emerging currencies compared to the stock market factor. This suggests that emerging currencies are somewhat segmented from a common financial market shock.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)121-129
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of International Money and Finance
Early online date3 May 2019
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2019


  • Commodity price
  • Currency carry trade
  • Emerging currencies
  • Factor model
  • Hierarchical model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics


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