Abstract
Regression modelling involving heavy-tailed response distributions, which have heavier tails than the exponential distribution, has become increasingly popular in many insurance settings including non-life insurance. Mixed Exponential models can be considered as a natural choice for the distribution of heavy-tailed claim sizes since their tails are not exponentially bounded. This paper is concerned with introducing a general family of mixed Exponential regression models with varying dispersion which can efficiently capture the tail behaviour of losses. Our main achievement is that we present an Expectation-Maximization (EM)-type algorithm which can facilitate maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for our class of mixed Exponential models which allows for regression specifications for both the mean and dispersion parameters. Finally, a real data application based on motor insurance data is given to illustrate the versatility of the proposed EM-type algorithm.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 555-583 |
Number of pages | 29 |
Journal | ASTIN Bulletin |
Volume | 50 |
Issue number | 2 |
Early online date | 8 May 2020 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - May 2020 |
Keywords
- EM algorithm
- heavy-tailed losses
- Mixed exponential distributions
- non-life insurance
- parameters
- regression models for the mean and dispersion
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Accounting
- Finance
- Economics and Econometrics