Abstract

This paper examines the major challenges associated with evaluating energy demand in the residential building sector in an integrated energy system modelling environment. Three established modelling fields are examined to generate a framework for assessing the impact of energy policy: energy system models, building stock models and dynamic building simulation. A set of profound challenges emerge when attempting to integrate such models, due to distinct differences in their intended applications, operational scales, formulations and computational implementations. Detailed discussions are provided on the integration of temporally refined energy demand, based on thermodynamic processes and socio-technical effects which may stem from new policy. A detailed framework is discussed for generating aggregate residential demands, in terms of space heating demand, domestic hot water demand, and lighting, appliance and consumer electronics demand. The framework incorporates a pathway for interpreting the effects of changes in household behaviour resulting from prospective policy measures. When long-term planning exercises are carried out using this framework, the cyclic effects between behavioural change and policy implementation are also considered. This work focused specifically on the United Kingdom energy system, however parallels can be drawn with other countries, in particular those with a mature privatised system, dominated by space heating concerns.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)865-875
Number of pages11
JournalEnergy Policy
Volume132
Early online date28 Jun 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2019

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Keywords

  • Dynamic building model
  • Energy policy
  • Energy system model
  • Household behaviour
  • Stock model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy(all)
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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