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2018

Approximating time to extinction for endemic infection models

Clancy, D. & Tjia, E., Dec 2018, In : Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 20, 4, p. 1043–1067 25 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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24 Downloads (Pure)

Persistence time of SIS infections in heterogeneous populations and networks

Clancy, D., Sep 2018, In : Journal of Mathematical Biology. 77, 3, p. 545-570 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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20 Downloads (Pure)

Precise estimates of persistence time for SIS infections in heterogeneous populations

Clancy, D., Nov 2018, In : Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 80, 11, p. 2871-2896 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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18 Downloads (Pure)
2017

Among-site variability in the stochastic dynamics of East African coral reefs

Allen, K. A., Bruno, J. F., Chong, F., Clancy, D., McClanahan, T. R., Spencer, M. & Zychaluk, K., 17 May 2017, In : PeerJ. 5, e3290.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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22 Downloads (Pure)
2015

Generality of endemic prevalence formulae

Clancy, D., Nov 2015, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 269, p. 30-36 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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41 Downloads (Pure)
2014

SIR epidemic models with general infectious period distribution

Clancy, D., Feb 2014, In : Statistics and Probability Letters. 85, p. 1-5

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2013

Effectiveness of simulated interventions in reducing the estimated prevalence of Salmonella in UK pig herds

Berriman, A. D. C., Clancy, D., Clough, H. E., Armstrong, D. & Christley, R. M., 2013, In : PLoS ONE. 8, e66054.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access

Semi-stochastic models for Salmonella infection within finishing pig units in the UK

Berriman, A. D. C., Clancy, D., Clough, H. E. & Christley, R. M., Oct 2013, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 245, 2, p. 148–156 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
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43 Downloads (Pure)

The effect of population heterogeneities upon spread of infection

Clancy, D. & Pearce, C. J., Oct 2013, In : Journal of Mathematical Biology. 67, 4, p. 963-987

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2012

Approximating quasistationary distributions of birth-death processes

Clancy, D., 2012, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 49, 4, p. 1036-1051

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Data-driven models for regional coral-reef dynamics

Zychaluk, K., Bruno, J., Clancy, D., McClanahan, T. & Spencer, M., Feb 2012, In : Ecology Letters. 15, 2, p. 151–158 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2011

Approximating the quasi-stationary distribution of the SIS model for endemic infection

Clancy, D. & Mendy, S. T., Sep 2011, In : Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 13, 3, p. 603-618

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2010

Quantifying parameter uncertainty in a coral reef model using Metropolis-coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo

Clancy, D., Tanner, J. E., McWilliam, S. & Spencer, M., 2010, In : Ecological Modelling. 221, 10, p. 1337–1347

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

The effect of waning immunity on long-term behaviour of stochastic models for the spread of infection

Clancy, D. & Mendy, S. T., Oct 2010, In : Journal of Mathematical Biology. 61, 4, p. 527-544

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2009

Quantifying exposure to Vero-cytotoxigenic Escherichia coli O157 in milk sold as pasteurized: A model-based approach

Clough, H. E., Clancy, D. & French, N., May 2009, In : International Journal of Food Microbiology. 131, 2-3, p. 95–105 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2008

A network model of E.coli O157 transmission within a typical UK dairy herd: the effect of heterogeneity and clustering on the prevalence of infection

Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D., Behnke, M. C. & Christley, R. M., 7 Sep 2008, In : Journal of Theoretical Biology. 254, 1, p. 45–54

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

An explicit optimal intervention policy for a deterministic epidemic model

Piunovskiy, A. & Clancy, D., 2008, In : Optimal Control Applications and Methods. 29, p. 413-428 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bayesian estimation of the basic reproduction number in stochastic epidemic models

Clancy, D. & O'Neill, P., 2008, In : Bayesian Analysis. 3, 4, p. 737-757 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2007

Dynamics of infection with multiple transmission mechanisms in unmanaged/managed animal populations

Xiao, Y., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D. & French, N. P., Jun 2007, In : Theoretical Population Biology. 71, 4, p. 408–423

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Exact Bayesian inference and model selection for stochastic models of epidemics among a community of households

Clancy, D. & O'Neill, P. D., Jun 2007, In : Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. 34, 2, p. 259–274

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Optimal intervention for an epidemic model under parameter uncertainty

Clancy, D. & Green, N., Feb 2007, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 205, 2, p. 297–314

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Pair approximations and the inclusion of indirect transmission: Theory and application to between farm transmission of Salmonella

Xiao, Y., French, N. P., Bowers, R. G. & Clancy, D., 7 Feb 2007, In : Journal of Theoretical Biology. 244, 3, p. 532–540

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2006

A semi-stochastic model for Salmonella infection in a multi-group herd

Xiao, Y., Clancy, D., French, N. P. & Bowers, R. G., Apr 2006, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 200, 2, p. 214–233

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Vero-cytotoxigenic Escherichia coli O157 in pasteurized milk containers at the point of retail: a qualitative approach to exposure assessment

Clough, H. E., Clancy, D. & French, N. P., Oct 2006, In : Risk Analysis. 26, 5, p. 1291–1309

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2005

An explicit optimal isolation policy for a deterministic epidemic model

Clancy, D. & Piunovskiy, A., 25 Apr 2005, In : Applied Mathematics and Computation. 163, 3, p. 1109-1121 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

A stochastic SIS infection model incorporating indirect transmission

Clancy, D., 2005, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 42, p. 726-737 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Infection in social networks: Using network analysis to identify high risk individuals

Christley, R. M., Pinchbeck, G., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D., French, N. P., Bennett, R. & Turner, J., 15 Nov 2005, In : American Journal of Epidemiology. 162, 10, p. 1024-1031 8 p., 16177140.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

New modelling approach concerning integrated disease control and cost-effectivity

Tang, S., Xiao, Y. & Clancy, D., 1 Nov 2005, In : Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications. 63, 3, p. 439-471 33 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Quantifying uncertainty associated with microbial count data: A Bayesian approach

Clough, H. E., Clancy, D., O'Neill, P. D., Robinson, S. E. & French, N. P., Jun 2005, In : Biometrics. 61, 2, p. 610-616 7 p., 16011711.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Understanding the dynamics of Salmonella infections in dairy herds: A modelling approach

Xiao, Y., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D. & French, N. P., 2005, In : Journal of Theoretical Biology. 233, 2, p. 159-175 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2003

A note on quasi-stationary distributions of birth-death processes and the SIS logistic epidemic

Clancy, D. & Pollett, P., 2003, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 40, p. 821-825 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bayesian methods for estimating pathogen prevalence within groups of animals from faecal-pat sampling

Clough, H. E., Clancy, D., O'Neill, P. D. & French, N. P., 15 May 2003, In : Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 58, 3-4, p. 145-169 25 p., 12706055.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2002

Dose-response relationships for foot and mouth disease in cattle and sheep

French, N. P., Kelly, L., Jones, R. & Clancy, D., Apr 2002, In : Epidemiology and Infection. 128, 2, p. 325-332 8 p., 12002551.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2001

Approximations for the long-term behaviour of an open-population epidemic model

Clancy, D., O'Neill, P. D. & Pollett, P., Mar 2001, In : Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 3, 1, p. 75-95 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

A stochastic model for disease transmission in a managed herd, motivated by Neospora caninum amongst dairy cattle

Clancy, D. & French, N. P., Apr 2001, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 170, 2, p. 113-132 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1999

Mathematical models of Neospora caninum infection in dairy cattle: Transmission and options for control

French, N. P., Clancy, D., Davison, H. & Trees, A., 1999, In : International Journal for Parasitology. 29, 10, p. 1691-1704 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Optimal intervention for epidemic models with general infection and removal rate functions

Clancy, D., 1999, In : Journal of Mathematical Biology. 39, 4, p. 309-331 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1998

Approximation of epidemics by inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes

Clancy, D. & O'Neill, P. D., 1998, In : Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 73, p. 233-245 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1996

Carrier-borne epidemic models incorporating population mobility

Clancy, D., Mar 1996, In : Mathematical Biosciences. 132, 2, p. 185-204 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Strong approximations for mobile population epidemic models

Clancy, D., 1996, In : Annals of Applied Probability. 6, 3, p. 883-895 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1995

The final outcome and temporal solution of a carrier-borne epidemic model

Ball, F. & Clancy, D., 1995, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 32, p. 304-315 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

The final outcome of an epidemic model with several different types of infective in a large population

Ball, F. & Clancy, D., 1995, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 32, p. 579-590 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1994

Some comparison results for multitype epidemic models

Clancy, D., 1994, In : Journal of Applied Probability. 31, 1, 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1993

The final size and severity of a generalised stochastic multitype epidemic model

Ball, F. & Clancy, D., 1993, In : Advances in Applied Probability. 25, 4, p. 721-736 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle